Free · 30 seconds

What will carbon pricing cost you by 2030?

Pick your industry, enter emissions, and adjust your excess above the OBPS standard. See the 5-year total.

tCO₂e subject to carbon pricing.
18%
Share of emissions you pay the carbon price on.
5-year carbon pricing exposure · Steel & Foundries
$4,131,000

Projected liability from 45,000 tCO₂e at 18% excess over the federal price schedule through 2030.

2026−$769,500
2027−$810,000
2028−$810,000
2029−$810,000
2030−$931,500

Simplified OBPS model · not financial advice · based on scheduled federal carbon prices

Common questions

How does the Ontario carbon pricing calculator work?

Select your industry, enter annual emissions subject to carbon pricing (tCO₂e), and set the percentage of emissions above your OBPS performance standard. The tool multiplies liable tonnes by the scheduled federal carbon price for 2026–2030.

What carbon prices does the tool use?

The model uses the federal carbon price trajectory announced under the May 15, 2026 federal-Alberta agreement: $95/t in 2026 (held flat from 2025), then $100/t for 2027–2029, rising to $115/t by 2030, applied to the portion of your emissions deemed in excess of the output-based standard.

Is this financial or compliance advice?

No. This is a simplified forward-looking illustration. Actual OBPS liability depends on your specific product benchmark, production levels, compliance credits, and provincial rules. Consult qualified advisors for binding decisions.

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